What is a recession and how will it affect me?

Dominique Grubisa
Dominique Grubisa

Published 8:55 am 18 Jun 2020

Facebook Twitter Whatsapp Linkedin

It’s official. Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has announced that the Australian economy had entered a recession. But what does the term ‘recession’ actually mean? And how will the ongoing downturn affect you and your family? DGI Founder and CEO Dominique Grubisa explains.


What is a recession?

While definitions vary, a recession is commonly regarded as two quarters of negative economic growth – in which rather than growing, the economy contracts.


If you’re an Australian under the age of about 50, then chances are that you’ve gone through your entire working life without experiencing a recession. Since 1991, our economy has experienced more or less steady growth, delivering prosperity and stability to ordinary working people and their families.

→ EMERGENCY Webinar Briefing on How To Safeguard Your Wealth While You Profit Safely

Sadly, that’s all about to change. With the coronavirus pandemic wreaking havoc on economies across the planet, Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg announced on June 2 that Australia had entered a period of recession. While definitions vary, a recession is commonly regarded as two quarters of negative economic growth – in which rather than growing, the economy contracts.

In Australia’s case, the economy shrank by 0.3 percent in the March quarter as the early effects of the pandemic were felt. A far bigger fall is expected in the June quarter, with many experts tipping a decline of between five and ten percent. Most are forecasting further negative growth beyond that, with a depression – a severe and prolonged downturn – one of the possibilities.

The news is a major blow to families already suffering from the impacts of the COVID-19 lockdown. To help you navigate the weeks and months ahead, here’s a guide to how the recession is likely to impact on you and your loved ones’ lives in several key areas.

Recession Job Loss

Major job losses were one of the first impacts in Australia of the pandemic. An estimated 600,000 people lost their jobs as sectors including tourism, hospitality and retail were devastated by social distancing restrictions. Unfortunately, recessions tend to create a vicious circle around job losses. As people hear about others losing their jobs, they become concerned about their finances and, as a result, spend less. This means even less money is pumped into the economy, leading to more business failures and more job losses. Our national unemployment rate is expected to hit at least 10 percent in the June quarter.

Wages and Recession Spending Habits

Australia’s economy was already struggling somewhat before the arrival of COVID 19, due to a sluggish retail sector and low wages growth. Consumer spending lies at the very heart of the Australian economy, and less money being handed over at the cash registers of businesses impacts on everyone. A recession will make things far worse. With unemployment soaring, people will be worried about losing their jobs and less likely to ask for pay rises. This will lead to less money in people’s pockets, hurting businesses across the country.

Property Prices During Recession

The property market has so far defied predictions of a COVID-19 slump. Despite, massive layoffs and business closures, property prices have remained relatively stable. But a range of experts, including the major banks, don’t believe the benign conditions will survive the recession. Both the Commonwealth Bank and National Australia Bank have issued predictions of worst-case scenarios where prices fall at least 30 percent. Factors that could bring on a plunge include the withdrawal of the JobKeeper payment in September, banks ending mortgage holidays for customers, and a sudden glut of properties on the market.

Debt Recession

Australia has one of the highest rates of personal debt in the world. In a recession, this is likely to act as a brake on recovery. With so many of us deeply in debt, our priorities are likely to be on servicing our loans (and retaining our house or car), rather than spending elsewhere in the economy. Again, the recession creates a vicious circle that drives down spending and worsens overall economic conditions.

Looking ahead

While almost every Australian is hoping for a speedy return to the way things were before COVID-19, the reality is we face a long path to recovery. The worst of the recession is very likely yet to come, and many more people will face severe economic hardship.

In such times, knowledge is power. By seeking education on the risks and challenges to come – and the associated economic opportunities – you can put yourself in the best possible position to ride out the recession. Through smart investment and asset protection, you may emerge on the other side in a stronger and more sustainable economic position than you are now.

To learn more about asset protection, register now for our emergency webinar briefing where you’ll learn how to safeguard your wealth while you profit safely.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the effects of a recession?

A recession is typically accompanied by increased unemployment, a downturn in economic activity, higher government borrowing, higher welfare recipiency, and many small businesses may be forced to close.

What is a recession?

A recession is defined as when GDP declines over two consecutive quarters. This means that the economy has recorded negative growth for at least 6 months.

What causes a recession?

A recession occurs when business and consumer confidence declines significantly over a sustained period. This can cause a vicious cycle in which spending and investments drop due to decreased confidence, triggering a further downturn and negative economic growth.

How does a recession affect a business?

When a recession occurs, consumer spending decreases which can reduce the revenue of businesses. In order to reduce expenses during a period of decreased economic activity, a business may also have to reduce its number of staff. This itself creates a vicious cycle, as when unemployment rises, consumer spending decreases and this further negatively impacts businesses.

How long do recessions last?

The length of each recession varies, however, in the U.S. recessions have lasted for 11 months on average. Australia’s last recession was in 2020 and lasted six months. Prior to that, Australia hadn’t experienced a recession in almost 30 years.

MWC Webinar Banner


Good Debt Vs Bad Debt With Dominique Grubisa - DG Institute

DOMINIQUE GRUBISA
Lawyer, Asset Protection Specialist and Property Educator

Dominique Grubisa is a practicing lawyer with over 25 years experience. She is a property investor and developer, an entrepreneur with businesses in Australia and Southeast Asia, a speaker, educator, writer and published author.


This column has been written for general information purposes only. It is not intended as legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such.

About DG Institute

Founded in 2009, DG Institute strives to empower everyday Australians to grow and protect their wealth. Our goal is to provide direction, motivation and inspiration to our clients and help them perform at their very best. We do that through our professional services, in addition to teaching them how to grow their wealth through property and business education.


This column has been written for general information purposes only. It is not intended as legal, financial or investment advice and should not be construed or relied on as such.

PROPERTY DEVELOPMENT MASTERCLASS LIVESTREAM

Our Happy Clients

  • Lisa Mitchell

    "My name’s Lisa Mitchell. I live in Chatswood in Sydney. Since joining the Elite Mentoring Program. I’ve done two deals made around $240,000. And probably when I add the extra rental that’s coming, it’s another $70,000. I could not be happier with that result. And I’m amazed by it, to be honest, I’m absolutely amazed. […]"

    Lisa Mitchell, Property Uplift Elite Mentoring Graduate

  • Jennine Kimbal

    "Janine Kimball from Newcastle since joining DG Institute we have two projects currently in progress with a gross realization value of about 10 and a half million dollars expected profit from those is going to be probably around $1.8 million when they complete the reason we joined DG Institute and the Elite Mentoring Program, was […]"

    Jennine Kimbal, Property Uplift Elite Mentoring Graduate

  • Michael Kuligowski

    "Hi, my name’s Michael, and I’m from New South Wales. Since joining the Elite Mentoring, we’ve been able to secure three properties. Well, under market value, both in inner Sydney, New South Wales, also regional new South Wales and one in Victoria by, undertaking, this program, we’ve definitely benefited, and we can see that we’re […]"

    Michael Kuligowski, Elite Mentoring Graduate (Property Uplift & Real Estate Rescue)

  • Sharon Harvey

    "Hi, I’m Sharon Harvey. I’m from South Australia. I joined the Elite Program because I was looking for something more in property and I was looking for more education and somebody who would inspire me and Dominique was that person. I listened to her talk and realize that there was a great synergy between us. […]"

    Sharon Harvey, Property Uplift Elite Mentoring Graduate

You May Also like to Read

Australia’s About to Break This COVID-19 Record

Australia’s lauded COVID-19 strategy is wearing thin.  Australia has been the envy of the world for most of the...

Will Australia Go Into Another Recession?

With more than half of the country now in lockdown, the threat of another recession looms over Australia.  Prior to...

Sydney Lockdowns Extended: Here’s the Support Available

Sydney’s Lockdowns have been extended for a further 4 weeks - and that might be just the beginning. Here’s the support...

What is Asset Protection?

We all want to build a collection of assets to increase our wealth, but it’s just as important to learn how to protect...

What To Do With Your Business In Lockdown

As Australia is plunged into multiple lockdowns, it’s time for businesses to brace themselves again for impact.  Just...

Reduce Your Tax & Protect Your Wealth by Putting Assets into a Trust

Trusts are a great way to secure your assets and manage your taxes. Without protection, your hard-earned assets are...